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Red46
270812.7
772112.0
771216.0
Blue47
773519.6
614112.9
461811.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394102060801004647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7712
#13
16.00.4
13.013.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.3
blue by 3.6
19.60.5
16.416.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End4.4
Second
2708
#11
12.70.4
11.712.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.6
blue by 0.3
6141
#16
12.90.5
11.812.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End2.0
Third
7721
#21
12.00.6
12.212.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
red by 0.7
4618
#17
11.40.8
10.911.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed