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Red43
9198.8
434319.9
425214.1
Blue76
691715.9
639713.7
491419.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41450102030506070804376

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.1
18.718.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
red by 0.5
19.40.9
17.718.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Second
4252
#26
14.10.1
10.810.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End3.4
blue by 1.9
6917
#31
15.90.9
12.313.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
919
#29
8.80.1
8.99.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 4.9
6397
#30DQ
13.70.6
13.013.6
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed