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Red45
663216.4
637815.1
752015.5
Blue65
136019.9
85421.8
477713.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4655203040506070804565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6632
#15
16.40.1
15.515.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End1.7
blue by 5.4
854
#8
21.80.2
20.420.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Second
7520
#35
15.50.1
15.215.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 4.4
1360
#14
19.90.3
18.919.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Third
6378
#27
15.10.1
12.813.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
red by 2.1
4777
#20
13.00.3
13.113.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed