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Red62
107517.1
761414.3
691715.9
Blue45
639713.7
461811.4
613013.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454020305060706245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.2
16.117.3
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End8.1
red by 3.4
6397
#30
13.70.5
13.614.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Second
6917
#31
15.91.2
13.114.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.0
red by 2.6
6130
#32
13.40.7
12.312.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End3.3
Third
7614
#12
14.30.9
13.514.4
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 2.9
4618
#17
11.40.7
11.712.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed