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Red62
85421.8
773519.6
90721.4
Blue49
136019.9
270812.7
765913.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60452030405070806249

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#8
21.80.3
20.620.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
red by 1.9
1360
#14
19.90.5
19.319.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Second
907
#3
21.40.3
19.720.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End5.0
red by 8.4
7659
#18
13.10.5
11.612.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Third
19.60.3
16.917.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End4.4
red by 7.0
2708
#11
12.70.4
12.112.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed