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Red39
701311.6
697510.0
639713.7
Blue57
90721.4
528815.6
559611.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3846102030506070803957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6397
#30
13.70.2
14.114.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End3.3
blue by 7.8
907
#3
21.40.9
20.020.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End5.0
Second
7013
#25
11.60.2
11.411.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.2
blue by 4.0
15.61.1
14.515.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
6975
#33
10.00.2
10.310.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End1.6
blue by 1.6
5596
#28
11.51.1
9.310.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsEarned