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Red63
425214.1
691715.9
773519.6
Blue53
752015.5
107517.1
760318.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4852102030406070806353

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.61.2
18.119.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End4.4
red by 0.9
7603
#22
18.80.2
18.018.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Second
6917
#31
15.91.3
14.015.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.0
blue by 1.1
17.10.2
16.516.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End8.1
Third
4252
#26
14.11.2
13.114.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End3.4
blue by 1.4
7520
#35
15.50.2
15.215.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed62%HAB Docking oddsMissed