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Red46
761414.3
755821.8
772112.0
Blue54
528815.6
614018.4
637815.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515045554654

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.1
21.421.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.3
red by 3.4
18.40.3
17.617.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End3.6
Second
7614
#12
14.30.1
14.414.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End2.8
blue by 1.3
15.60.3
15.615.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Third
7721
#21
12.00.1
12.111.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 3.1
6378
#27
15.10.3
13.914.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed