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Red28
592112.9
663216.4
697510.0
Blue45
136019.9
701311.6
461811.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45443035405055602845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6632
#15
16.41.1
17.816.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End1.7
blue by 3.4
1360
#14
19.90.0
19.519.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Second
5921
#24
12.91.2
14.012.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End2.3
red by 1.3
7013
#25
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Third
6975
#33
10.01.0
10.59.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End1.6
blue by 1.4
4618
#17
11.40.0
11.311.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed