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Red59
90721.4
491419.4
477713.0
Blue56
434319.9
632311.3
85421.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56533040506070805956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
907
#3
21.40.2
20.921.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End5.0
blue by 0.4
854
#8
21.80.4
20.921.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
Second
19.40.2
19.419.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End3.9
blue by 0.5
19.90.4
18.619.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.4
Third
4777
#20
13.00.2
12.813.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End2.7
red by 1.7
6323
#36
11.30.4
10.911.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed