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Red51
65148.7
18818.9
607013.2
Blue43
75649.0
697511.7
613521.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40382530354550555143

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#10
18.90.1
15.815.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.7
End2.2
blue by 2.9
21.80.6
18.819.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End4.2
Second
6070
#23
13.20.1
11.211.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End1.8
red by 1.6
6975
#34
11.70.6
10.811.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.2
Third
6514
#24
8.70.1
9.19.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End2.4
blue by 0.3
7564
#31
9.00.6
8.38.9
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed