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Red59
686720.4
415221.5
698713.9
Blue17
611015.5
542614.7
35718.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49381020306070805917

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#14
21.51.4
15.617.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.1
End4.5
red by 6.1
6110
#21
15.52.1
14.212.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End3.1
Second
20.41.4
18.620.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End5.0
red by 5.7
5426
#33
14.72.1
10.48.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Third
6987
#11
13.91.4
12.113.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End3.7
red by 5.5
3571
#38
8.42.1
11.79.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed