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Red48
61026.5
613521.8
726714.7
Blue44
493623.4
299416.0
415221.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44463035405055604844

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#2
26.50.3
19.219.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.6
End7.2
red by 3.1
23.40.4
14.014.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End2.9
Second
21.80.3
12.612.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.4
End4.2
red by 0.3
4152
#14
21.50.4
13.113.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Third
7267
#25
14.70.3
13.413.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End1.2
blue by 1.2
2994
#15
16.00.4
13.613.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed