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Red27
773514.6
611015.5
490720.1
Blue39
270810.3
65148.7
588525.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4043303545502739

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.2
13.412.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End8.8
blue by 5.4
25.50.2
14.414.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End8.4
Second
6110
#21
15.51.2
14.012.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End3.1
red by 5.2
2708
#39
10.30.2
15.815.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.8
Third
7735
#22
14.610.7
19.68.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.5
End3.6
red by 5.9
6514
#24
8.70.2
10.810.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsEarned