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Red42
220025.9
270810.3
697511.7
Blue46
540913.9
698713.9
542614.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4843304050604246

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.3
23.823.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End7.8
red by 11.1
5426
#33
14.70.5
12.913.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Second
6975
#34
11.70.3
12.211.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.2
blue by 2.3
5409
#12
13.90.5
13.514.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End3.3
Third
2708
#39
10.30.3
9.18.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End2.8
blue by 3.6
6987
#11
13.90.5
14.715.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed