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Red68
685912.0
285218.5
238622.2
Blue49
686720.4
35718.4
451916.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504420304060706849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.8
21.022.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End8.2
red by 1.7
20.40.7
19.119.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.3
End5.0
Second
2852
#18
18.51.8
16.818.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End3.4
red by 2.3
4519
#17
16.20.7
15.115.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End4.1
Third
6859
#35
12.01.8
9.711.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End3.0
red by 3.6
3571
#38
8.40.7
7.58.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed