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Red43
503916.7
745614.1
133414.8
Blue30
9198.4
571917.1
74619.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414230354550554330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5039
#13
16.70.1
13.513.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End3.0
blue by 2.6
746
#4
19.40.6
14.914.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End9.8
Second
1334
#14
14.80.1
12.913.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.5
End4.1
blue by 2.3
5719
#11
17.11.1
13.312.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
7456
#16
14.10.1
12.512.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End4.1
red by 5.7
919
#30
8.41.1
11.310.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed