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Red63
502422.0
687817.5
61626.5
Blue48
128520.7
686617.5
42528.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414810203060706348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.9
11.512.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End7.7
red by 1.3
20.70.4
19.318.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End7.4
Second
17.50.9
14.615.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End2.4
red by 0.1
6866
#22
17.50.2
15.415.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Third
6.50.9
13.113.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End2.2
blue by 1.6
4252
#27
8.10.4
10.910.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed