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Red63
503114.6
74619.4
128520.7
Blue29
59117.3
42528.1
571917.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483601020304060706329

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.6
18.520.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End7.4
red by 3.7
5719
#11
17.10.5
13.913.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Second
746
#4
19.40.9
15.116.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End9.8
red by 11.3
4252
#27
8.10.5
11.110.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End1.4
Third
5031
#26
14.60.9
12.313.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.1
red by 7.3
5911
#21
7.30.5
8.78.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed