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Red43
713613.3
270618.1
493917.1
Blue42
769015.7
61626.5
639711.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44321020405060704342

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#15
18.10.1
11.211.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End2.8
red by 2.4
7690
#12
15.70.4
9.29.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Second
4939
#10
17.10.1
17.217.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.6
End3.2
red by 5.2
6397
#17
11.90.7
10.010.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End3.3
Third
7136
#23
13.30.1
13.313.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End3.5
red by 6.8
6.50.7
10.811.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed