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Red44
59117.3
503114.6
686724.1
Blue76
18825.3
747614.9
270618.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464530405060704476

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.0
22.122.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End4.8
blue by 1.3
188
#2
25.32.0
20.122.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.7
End6.1
Second
5031
#26
14.60.0
13.113.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 3.5
2706
#15
18.13.1
11.915.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End2.8
Third
5911
#21
7.30.1
8.28.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.6
End2.2
blue by 7.6
7476
#25
14.93.1
11.014.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsEarned