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Red35
571917.1
686617.5
639711.9
Blue38
503916.7
493917.1
61626.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43492030406070803538

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6866
#22
17.50.4
16.816.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 0.4
4939
#10
17.10.7
17.216.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.6
End3.2
Second
5719
#11
17.10.6
14.313.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 0.3
5039
#13
16.71.2
16.715.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Third
6397
#17
11.90.6
9.99.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End3.3
red by 5.4
6.51.2
12.211.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed