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Red55
502422.0
713613.3
745614.1
Blue61
128520.7
124614.7
687817.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4350304060705561

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.5
14.716.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End7.7
red by 1.3
20.70.8
21.021.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End7.4
Second
7456
#16
14.11.5
13.715.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End4.1
blue by 3.4
17.50.8
16.016.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Third
7136
#23
13.31.5
12.514.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End3.5
blue by 1.3
1246
#19
14.70.8
10.511.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsEarned