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Red33
713613.3
74619.4
752014.8
Blue64
686724.1
639711.9
687817.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405002060801003364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
746
#4
19.40.3
15.014.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End9.8
blue by 4.7
24.10.3
20.420.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End4.8
Second
7520
#20
14.87.4
16.99.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 2.7
17.50.5
13.914.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Third
7136
#23
13.30.5
12.512.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End3.5
red by 1.4
6397
#17
11.90.5
12.613.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed