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Red24
9198.4
502422.0
503114.6
Blue64
769015.7
493917.1
571917.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42391020305060702464

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.7
14.612.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End7.7
red by 4.9
4939
#10
17.10.8
17.618.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.6
End3.2
Second
5031
#26
14.61.0
14.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 2.5
5719
#11
17.11.4
12.614.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
919
#30
8.41.7
11.29.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 7.2
7690
#12
15.70.8
6.67.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed