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Red40
219810.8
74615.0
131021.1
Blue55
587012.0
750917.5
137418.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4032102050604055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#10
21.10.2
14.214.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End4.1
red by 2.8
1374
#11
18.32.7
10.513.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.6
End4.7
Second
746
#6
15.00.2
13.313.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End6.8
blue by 2.5
7509
#14
17.52.7
10.012.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Third
2198
#18
10.80.2
10.610.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End3.6
blue by 1.2
5870
#23
12.02.7
10.313.0
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed