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Red46
60099.8
368328.6
293515.6
Blue71
403924.1
111430.8
434316.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4958304070804671

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.1
17.217.1
Auto5.6
Teleop17.6
End5.4
blue by 2.2
30.81.7
21.122.9
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End8.1
Second
2935
#21
15.60.1
17.917.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End2.5
blue by 8.5
24.11.7
18.520.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.1
Third
6009
#30
9.80.1
11.611.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
blue by 6.2
4343
#32
16.01.7
15.817.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsEarned