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Red53
587012.0
85418.0
760316.3
Blue30
772311.7
493917.6
701310.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443602060805330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#13
18.00.6
18.318.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 0.4
17.60.8
14.613.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End4.6
Second
16.30.6
10.511.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End4.4
red by 4.6
7723
#20
11.70.8
10.59.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.2
End3.1
Third
5870
#23
12.00.6
13.013.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End2.8
red by 1.3
7013
#26
10.70.8
9.28.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed