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Red42
293515.6
219810.8
430815.2
Blue23
748011.4
61419.9
60099.8
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4231102050604223

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#21
15.60.3
17.317.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End2.5
red by 4.2
7480
#28
11.41.4
9.07.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Second
4308
#16
15.20.3
13.413.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
red by 5.3
6141
#24
9.91.4
8.77.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.1
Third
2198
#18
10.80.3
8.89.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End3.6
red by 1.1
6009
#30
9.81.4
11.510.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed