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Red24
697710.5
701310.7
748011.4
Blue31
760316.3
60099.8
697812.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354210203050602431

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7480
#28
11.41.4
9.48.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 4.9
16.310.0
18.88.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Second
7013
#26
10.71.4
14.212.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End2.8
blue by 1.9
12.51.3
16.715.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End5.0
Third
6977
#17
10.51.4
9.78.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
red by 0.7
6009
#30
9.81.3
12.911.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed