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Red36
86520.3
79029.6
131021.1
Blue37
61419.9
503114.0
651313.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4040303545503637

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#10
21.10.2
14.414.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End4.1
red by 7.1
5031
#12
14.01.2
14.813.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End3.9
Second
865
#22
20.30.2
14.113.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.4
red by 6.6
6513
#15
13.81.2
12.411.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End4.4
Third
7902
#29
9.60.2
9.49.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End2.6
blue by 0.3
6141
#24
9.91.2
11.09.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed