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Red36
702215.6
591217.6
492010.4
Blue15
68549.2
503212.5
497622.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40461020305060703615

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#14
17.60.2
11.811.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
blue by 4.7
22.33.2
17.013.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End8.5
Second
7022
#15
15.60.2
12.512.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End3.3
red by 3.2
5032
#22
12.53.2
13.510.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Third
4920
#20
10.40.2
13.913.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End2.9
red by 1.2
6854
#30
9.23.2
13.09.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed