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Red30
74758.2
503918.2
68567.8
Blue72
205639.1
260918.2
467821.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425720803072

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5039
#11
18.21.3
16.715.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End1.9
blue by 20.9
39.11.3
21.222.5
Auto5.4
Teleop24.8
End8.9
Second
7475
#28
8.22.7
10.57.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End3.2
blue by 13.3
21.41.3
17.118.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Third
6856
#32
7.82.2
13.411.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 10.4
2609
#18
18.21.3
15.717.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsEarned