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Red42
591217.6
780010.6
503212.5
Blue68
260918.2
503918.2
699216.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424810203060704268

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#14
17.60.3
16.416.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
blue by 0.6
2609
#18
18.21.4
15.016.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Second
5032
#22
12.50.3
10.210.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End3.0
blue by 5.7
5039
#11
18.20.8
17.318.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End1.9
Third
7800
#19
10.60.3
12.612.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End2.8
blue by 5.7
6992
#12
16.31.4
13.514.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed