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Red38
63306.5
270219.2
567213.9
Blue74
368334.7
461710.0
205639.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43762060801003874

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#17
19.20.3
17.417.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 19.9
39.10.2
30.630.8
Auto5.4
Teleop24.8
End8.9
Second
5672
#25
13.90.3
14.414.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.8
blue by 20.8
34.70.1
28.728.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.6
End6.4
Third
6330
#29
6.50.3
8.78.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End2.3
blue by 3.5
4617
#23
10.00.2
12.512.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsEarned