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Red40
31618.4
491718.2
591217.6
Blue38
373914.0
772213.6
496815.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464120305060704038

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#10
18.20.4
17.617.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End7.1
red by 2.7
4968
#16
15.40.1
13.413.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End4.1
Second
5912
#14
17.60.4
17.116.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
red by 3.6
3739
#26
14.00.1
14.013.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End2.2
Third
3161
#31
8.40.4
9.08.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 5.2
7722
#27
13.60.1
11.611.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed