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Red45
68567.8
270219.2
548315.0
Blue35
375612.9
567213.9
406918.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444335404550554535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#17
19.20.3
16.316.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.0
red by 0.3
18.90.6
15.815.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End8.1
Second
15.00.3
17.718.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 1.1
5672
#25
13.90.6
13.412.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
6856
#32
7.80.3
7.57.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 5.0
3756
#13
12.90.6
11.711.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed