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Red46
285224.1
654418.7
219812.8
Blue76
490325.3
403929.6
77116.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597620401004676

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.3
24.324.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End6.0
blue by 5.5
29.60.3
29.929.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.2
End8.4
Second
18.70.3
18.918.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End5.6
blue by 6.6
4903
#11
25.30.3
25.625.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End5.0
Third
2198
#21
12.80.3
13.012.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 3.7
771
#26
16.50.3
16.816.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End3.4