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Red63
77221.3
493622.8
499215.7
Blue61
468822.0
713617.9
493219.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65645055607075806361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.0
23.223.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.1
red by 0.7
22.00.0
22.222.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End6.3
Second
772
#9
21.30.0
21.821.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.4
End6.8
red by 1.5
4932
#19
19.80.0
20.020.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End8.0
Third
4992
#15
15.70.0
16.216.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End3.6
blue by 2.2
17.90.0
18.118.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.6
End5.0