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Red32
605211.4
219812.8
493219.8
Blue45
588526.3
499215.7
493811.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44522060803245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4932
#19
19.80.6
17.817.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End8.0
blue by 6.5
5885
#10
26.30.3
25.525.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End9.0
Second
2198
#21
12.80.7
10.810.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 2.9
4992
#15
15.70.5
13.112.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Third
6052
#40
11.41.0
12.711.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 0.1
4938
#20
11.50.3
11.010.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned74%HAB Docking oddsMissed