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Red30
540815.4
620214.1
78009.8
Blue41
468822.0
688111.0
654418.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37440102030506070803041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5408
#17
15.40.5
11.911.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.9
blue by 6.6
22.00.2
16.616.3
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End6.3
Second
6202
#37
14.10.5
12.211.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End3.4
blue by 4.6
18.70.2
11.611.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End5.6
Third
7800
#32
9.80.3
10.610.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End3.6
blue by 1.2
6881
#25
11.00.4
13.112.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed