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Red56
688111.0
263422.2
568916.3
Blue35
219812.8
542615.0
582112.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49401020306070805635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#18
22.20.6
20.421.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End4.1
red by 7.3
5426
#35
15.00.2
15.114.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Second
5689
#27
16.31.0
13.915.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End4.7
red by 3.5
2198
#21
12.80.2
11.911.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Third
6881
#25
11.01.0
12.413.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End2.8
blue by 1.1
5821
#29
12.10.3
10.710.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed