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Red80
403929.6
285224.1
540815.4
Blue82
540918.7
588526.3
86522.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60672040801008082

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.9
24.425.2
Auto5.0
Teleop16.2
End8.4
red by 3.3
5885
#10
26.31.2
26.427.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End9.0
Second
24.10.9
21.822.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End6.0
red by 1.6
865
#14
22.51.2
20.922.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.8
End5.2
Third
5408
#17
15.41.5
10.512.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.9
blue by 3.3
5409
#12
18.71.2
16.117.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsEarned