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Red42
748016.5
687511.1
499215.7
Blue47
713617.9
493811.5
293515.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35450204060804247

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7480
#22
16.50.4
13.313.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End4.1
blue by 1.4
17.90.1
14.714.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.6
End5.0
Second
4992
#15
15.70.7
9.29.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End3.6
red by 0.5
2935
#33
15.20.1
14.414.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End3.5
Third
6875
#38
11.10.4
10.310.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End2.5
blue by 0.4
4938
#20
11.50.1
13.413.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed