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Red63
653711.6
468822.0
775716.0
Blue61
493219.8
672517.4
568916.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505602040801006361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.0
21.422.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End6.3
red by 2.2
4932
#19
19.80.5
19.419.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End8.0
Second
7757
#28
16.01.0
15.916.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 1.4
6725
#31
17.40.7
16.817.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End4.8
Third
6537
#36
11.61.4
10.411.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.6
End3.9
blue by 4.7
5689
#27
16.30.7
16.917.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsEarned