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Red92
493622.8
459511.9
111437.4
Blue58
492017.3
78009.8
499215.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions763920601009258

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.5
36.236.7
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End9.9
red by 20.0
4920
#16
17.31.2
15.116.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End7.1
Second
22.80.5
23.624.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End6.1
red by 7.1
4992
#15
15.71.6
12.414.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Third
4595
#34
11.90.7
11.812.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End3.8
red by 2.1
7800
#32
9.81.2
8.910.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsEarned