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Red65
469214.1
644323.0
154026.6
Blue64
363615.4
247116.8
281115.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67490204060801006564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End7.1
red by 9.8
16.80.3
16.616.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End5.8
Second
23.00.0
22.922.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.4
End9.1
red by 7.6
15.40.3
15.215.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.1
Third
4692
#17
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 0.8
15.00.3
14.715.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End5.4