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Red58
469214.1
644323.0
154026.6
Blue57
273318.8
634314.3
404320.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67562040801005857

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.1
26.626.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End7.1
red by 6.5
4043
#15
20.10.0
20.019.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Second
23.00.1
23.022.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.4
End9.1
red by 4.2
2733
#14
18.80.0
18.618.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End6.5
Third
4692
#17
14.10.1
14.114.0
Auto5.9
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 0.2
14.30.0
14.414.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End4.8