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Red70
143218.4
634317.0
405722.2
Blue45
597014.2
545017.4
157116.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615330407080907045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.3
21.621.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End8.6
red by 4.8
5450
#29
17.40.3
17.717.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.1
End2.9
Second
1432
#23
18.40.3
18.618.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End8.4
red by 2.3
1571
#21
16.10.3
16.416.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Third
6343
#11
17.00.3
17.817.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End5.0
red by 2.7
5970
#24
14.20.3
15.815.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed