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Red58
466219.6
241112.4
247123.2
Blue60
289819.2
448828.6
74488.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5658203040507080905860

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.3
22.022.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End7.6
blue by 5.4
28.60.3
28.729.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.7
End9.0
Second
4662
#10
19.60.3
19.820.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
red by 0.5
2898
#15
19.20.3
19.219.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Third
2411
#32
12.40.3
11.011.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End4.4
red by 3.6
7448
#31
8.80.3
7.37.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned76%HAB Docking oddsEarned